If your sales follow a seasonal pattern, a flat trailing average will always underestimate ahead of your peak weeks and overestimate once they pass. A new forecasting method fixes this: for each future week, Qoblex looks back at exactly what sold in the same week one year ago, for the same product and location, and uses that as the starting point. A per-week growth factor still applies, so year-on-year trends are reflected. You can select this method per variant alongside the existing Historical Average Weekly Sales approach.
A few safeguards make the seasonal method reliable to act on. When a future week has no valid prior-year reference, the forecast shows an "insufficient history" indicator rather than silently falling back to a different number. The forecast explanation tells you exactly which prior-year week each suggested quantity came from, and flags if that reference week was itself affected by a stockout, so you know when the source data might be understating the real demand.
Forecasting now also factors in your safety stock. If a variant has a safety stock target set, forecasting will recommend enough stock to cover that buffer in addition to the forecast demand. A product with 10 units of safety stock and 8 on hand will trigger a suggested receipt of at least 2, even when forecast demand is zero for the period. Products with no safety stock set are unaffected. No new setup is needed inside forecasting; it reads the safety stock value you already have on the product.